Counting each pollster only once in the average, former Vice President Joe Biden leads Trump by 10 points in these polls. the majority party) have an incumbency advantage in the House, while Trump enjoys that same advantage for the presidency. We can widen it out to include the elections where the incumbent president was not running for another term. Now, it could be the case that House Republicans are running ahead of Trump because voters are intentionally splitting their ticket. Of course, even if Trump was doing as well as Republican candidates for the House, he would still be trailing.

Source: CNN August 15, 2020 15:33 UTC