And House Republicans, so far, believe trouble is absolutely brewing,” Enten said. Enten revealed that the party with fewer House retirements has gone on to win midterm election cycles a majority of the time (80%) since 1982. Advertisement“House Democrats clearly think something good is going to happen and House Republicans clearly think something very bad, very bad is gonna happen,” he said. When the president’s approval is less than 50%, their party has lost an average of 34 House seats in midterm election cycles since 1938, per Enten. AdvertisementThe data chief emphasized that Democrats need to pick up just three seats to gain the House majority in this year’s midterms.

Source: Huffington Post March 30, 2026 15:37 UTC