VARUTH HIRUNYATHEBAnalysts are mapping coalition scenarios for the next government, depending on whether the People's Party (PP) or Bhumjaithai finishes first, with no party expected to govern alone. Ultimately, coalition talks are expected to hinge on cabinet negotiations, with Pheu Thai emerging as the key variable in forming a government. He outlines three possibilities: a PP-Pheu Thai coalition, a Bhumjaithai-Pheu Thai alliance with the PP in opposition, or a less likely partnership between the PP and Bhumjaithai. Mr Chaiyan considers the first scenario most probable, followed by a later realignment returning Bhumjaithai and Pheu Thai to power. Wanwichit Boonprong, a political science lecturer at Rangsit University, argues that the most likely coalition would involve Bhumjaithai, Pheu Thai and Klatham, citing their prior experience working together.

Source: Bangkok Post February 03, 2026 22:06 UTC