That’s because this year’s Senate map would require Democrats to win numerous seats in red states. Independent journalist Chris Cillizza recently observed that for the first time ever, prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi showed Democrats with a narrow edge. Now, prediction markets are not scientific. The difference is that in prediction markets, people are wagering actual money, which tends to sharpen the mind in ways that answering a pollster’s call during dinner does not. In Maine, Republican Sen. Susan Collins once again finds herself in a political knife fight — her natural habitat, though perhaps not her preferred one.

Source: Los Angeles Times March 21, 2026 16:36 UTC