William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics. View all posts by William BoweIn among the hubbub of the South Australian election, DemosAU has unleashed one of its occasional multi-level regression and post-stratification polls , designed to project seat outcomes based on their demographic characteristics. This is based on vote shares of Labor 29%, One Nation 27%, Coalition 21% and Greens 12%. An exercise to model seat outcomes for a hypothetical federal election credits One Nation with more seats than are currently held by the Coalition.

Source: The Guardian March 21, 2026 01:07 UTC