“Instead of showing a single, definitive line of a track, the cone takes care of two-thirds of the possible track,” he said. Cline used the analogy of a ball and a velcro mitt to explain how the accuracy of meteorologists’ forecasts improve as the storm gets closer. “Our odds of being able to determine the place of impact is greater as the storm gets closer.”To develop a forecast cone, scientists look at a variety of models that determine the path the storm will most likely take. The more consistent the models are with one another, the narrower the cone can be, according to The Baltimore Sun. To provide the most up-to-date forecast cone throughout the day, scientists are constantly analyzing the storm’s location and wind-speed, among other factors, the newspaper reported.

Source: Fox News September 11, 2018 20:15 UTC