At one extreme, in the 2012 presidential election just 21.6% of adults who left school before ninth grade voted. This election has been dominated by headlines about the non-college educated white Americans who form Republican nominee Donald Trump’s support base. In 2012, about 55% of that demographic group showed up to vote, and 60% voted Republican. Photograph: Pew Research CenterTo understand how those people might affect this election, consider a few different hypothetical scenarios:1. Non-college educated white people are no more likely to vote, but 98% of those who do vote, vote for Trump – which, again, is never going to happen.

Source: The Guardian October 16, 2016 10:00 UTC