For example, former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by a 7 point margin in an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll out on Sunday. What that can miss, however, is that Biden's close to 50% (49%), while Trump isn't anywhere close (42%) in the poll. Indeed, if you look at the average of live interview polls released since last Sunday, Biden manages to eclipse 50% (51%). As I've noted in the past , Trump's comeback in 2016 was made considerably easier by the fact that Democrat Hillary Clinton wasn't polling close to 50%. Here's the problem for Trump: The average poll at this point had Truman's Republican opponent Thomas Dewey at 46%.

Source: CNN June 07, 2020 18:12 UTC