Biden has the edge — an often significant one — in all the states he needs to secure the White House. U.S. elections are not decided by which candidate gets the most votes but rather by the candidate who receives the most electoral college votes. Each state is awarded a number of electoral college votes equal to their number of members of Congress (plus three votes for Washington, D.C.) and the candidate that receives the most votes in each individual state is awarded all of that state's electoral college votes. They add another potential 42 electoral college votes to his total. But to get to a race of less than three points, Trump can't count on a polling miss alone.

Source: CBC News August 18, 2020 07:52 UTC