A poll records the Coalition with a two-party lead for the first time since the election, but there are reasons to be dubious. The Courier-Mail will have a Queensland state poll through at 10am local time, presumably from YouGov, which the paper has been promoting with its trademark subtlety. The poll was conducted in the immediate aftermath of the referendum, from last Monday through to Sunday, from a sample of 1383. An index measure of the federal government’s performance is down to 48, after the four previous readings since the 2022 election came in at 52 or 53. The survey was conductedWith most of the votes from the referendum now in, here’s a ranked listing of how the pollsters performed:

Source: Washington Post October 25, 2023 20:32 UTC