Over the course of the year, his position against former vice president Joe Biden hasn’t really moved — nor has his narrow advantage over Biden when YouGov asked how the economy would fare under either candidate. That said, it was once the case that Trump’s advantage on the economy was robust in a way that current polling doesn’t reflect. It’s noteworthy that the two other periods in which Democrats held an advantage included 2008 and 2012, both years in which the Democratic presidential candidate prevailed. During most of that period, from early 2011 on, the government was split between Democratic leadership in the White House and Republican control of the House. But, particularly when coupled with Gallup’s polling, it suggests a climate that isn’t as favorable to the Republican Party as Trump would probably like.

Source: Washington Post September 25, 2020 20:48 UTC