Particularly when that polling speaks to one of the most significant questions in American politics: What do the voting preferences of young voters tell us about how politics are shifting? Among all registered voters in all of the battleground states who are under the age of 30, Trump and Biden are essentially tied. You can also see that, while White voters in the battleground states haven’t shifted much in the Times poll, Hispanic and especially Black respondents have. In these battleground states, the Times poll has the gap at seven points. It suggests that Biden has a significant individual problem with younger voters, that younger voters are trending away from Democrats, or that this poll in particular is overestimating young voter support for Trump.

Source: New York Times November 07, 2023 14:17 UTC