And, according to at least one turnout model, we are on track to see a record 157 million people vote in 2020. First, record turnout means the polls are more likely to be accurate this time around. Asking people whether they are likely to vote or even looking at their voter history can only tell you so much. This is why record turnout numbers, like we are seeing in states across the country, are great for pollsters. The closer the number of actual voters gets to the number of potential voters, the more accurate the polls that survey likely voters should become.

Source: The Nation October 31, 2020 13:07 UTC