The Opta supercomputer has confirmed that Arsenal remain the favourites to claim their maiden Champions League trophy after the final draw for the knockout stages of the competition took place on Friday morning. Despite being drawn amongst a pack with a stronger European pedigree however, Bayern Munich are the closest contenders to spoil Arsenal's path, with Opta grading their 14.28 per cent chance of lifting the trophy second to the Gunners' 27.40 per cent chance. CHAMPION LEAGUE PREDICTIONS Arsenal - 27.40 per cent chance Bayern Munich - 14.28 per cent chance Liverpool - 12.83 per cent chance Man City - 10.79 per cent chance Barcelona - 7.72 per cent chance Chelsea - 6.86 per cent chance Newcastle - 4.66 per cent chance Paris Saint-Germain - 4.64 per cent chance Real Madrid - 2.78 per cent chance Sporting Lisbon - 2.73 per cent chance Atletico Madrid - 2.00 per cent chance Tottenham - 1.22 per cent chance AdvertisementLiverpool, who would then play the winner of Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea, have a 12.83 per cent chance, narrowly edging Man City, who have a 10.79 per cent chance. Newcastle just miss out on making the top six with their 4.66 per cent chance of winning the trophy, having navigated their way through a one-sided play-off match-up with Azerbaijan side Qarabag. The remaining Premier League team still in play in Europe's top club competition, Tottenham, have a slender 1.22 per cent chance.
Source: Daily Mail February 27, 2026 15:04 UTC