Taiwan invasion would cost China massively: US think tankBy Hollie Younger / Staff writerConflict with Taiwan could leave China with “massive economic disruption, catastrophic military losses, significant social unrest, and devastating sanctions,” a US think tank said in a report released yesterday. The German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) yesterday released a report titled If China Attacks Taiwan: The Consequences for China of “Minor Conflict” and “Major War” Scenarios. It details how a minor conflict or a major war scenario would affect the People’s Republic of China (PRC) in contingencies expected to occur between this year and 2030. As for the international costs, a major conflict could set China back “decades on the global stage,” it says. However, Chinese leaders would likely view the international implications of a minor conflict as “manageable,” it says.

Source: Taipei Times January 06, 2026 10:51 UTC