As of this writing, the Lebanese front has become an active, unconstrained battlespace within a systemic regional war. Yet by choosing to strike, Hezbollah has dragged a bankrupt and politically paralyzed Lebanese state into a war it may not survive. The Lebanese State’s Pushback and the Risk of Civil StrifeA critical, newly emerging dynamic is the overt confrontation between the Lebanese state and Hezbollah’s military wing. The Lebanese state survives but becomes a hollowed-out entity incapable of providing even basic services to its population. Targeted Support for the Lebanese State: Gulf states should channel emergency humanitarian aid directly and exclusively through the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) and the Lebanese Red Cross.

Source: The Guardian March 10, 2026 12:23 UTC