Then, as states began expanding voting by mail, given the coronavirus pandemic, he turned his attention to those mail ballots. It has been common in recent years for ballots counted after Election Day to favor Democrats — for predictable reasons. In 2016, for example, Trump and Hillary Clinton were running about even in the popular vote on Election Day. Among the half of respondents who plan to vote in person on Election Day, Trump leads by 22 points. The result is what has been called the “blue shift” — results moving more in the Democrats’ favor after Election Day.

Source: Washington Post September 24, 2020 15:00 UTC