Alternative Futures of the Sino-Russian relationshipBy MAJ Sean T. Madden, MAJ Andrew Falkenstine, and MAJ James GibbsAlternative Futures AnalysisThis article uses the Alternative Futures Analysis tool as a guide to discuss four plausible outcomes of continued Sino-Russian relations. The Alternative Futures Analysis is a red teaming exercise that assists in forecasting plausible futures and is taught at the 12-week Special Operations Campaign Artistry Program (SOCAP) at Fort Leavenworth. Combined, these tools provide a powerful analysis of plausible futures stemming from continued Sino-Russian relations. Building FrictionIt will require a strategic effort, involving a whole of U.S. government approach, to influence the Sino-Russian relationship to increase the amount of friction within the relationship. Doing so makes any effort to influence the Sino-Russian relationship a department-level conversation.

Source: New York Times April 06, 2022 15:00 UTC