A separate measure of “growth rate” suggests the outbreak is shrinking less, but is still coming down slowly. SAGE now believes the virus spreads at an “optimal temperature” of 4C and is braced for a fresh winter crisis. “The aim is always to reduce close contacts.”The growth rate estimate of new infections per day for England is now from -4% to -1%. “A dose of humility is called for.”The UK R estimate remained at between 0.7 and 0.9. The growth rate of infections per day is -5% to -2%.

Source: Daily Mirror July 10, 2020 12:56 UTC