Morgan finds the Coalition losing most of the lead it opened over One Nation in the first poll under Angus Taylor, and RedBridge Group offers some useful data on preference flows. This week’s Roy Morgan federal poll has Labor down a point to 30.5%, the Coalition down half to 23.5%, One Nation up one-and-a-half to 22% and the Greens down one to 11.5%. Hopefully Morgan will shortly be publishing aggregated state breakdowns from its last month of polling, as it did at the end of January. The poll found Liberal voters breaking 72-28 in favour of One Nation and other Coalition voters breaking 60-40, while Greens voters broke 89-11 to Labor and others broke 68-32. The corresponding numbers were 70%, 6% and 24% for Nationals voters, 1%, 91% and 8% for the Greens, and 32%, 53% and 15% for others.

Source: The Guardian March 04, 2026 00:08 UTC