Unless a big shift in votes from BJP to Congress occurs in Gujarat Elections 2017, the BJP may still end up winning many of the high-victory-margin seats even though the margins may decline this time. Photo: APNew Delhi: The Gujarat elections 2017 appears to be a much closer contest than before, with the party putting up a stronger fight against the incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government. In Gujarat elections since 1995, the BJP has consistently maintained a vote share lead between 9 to 11 percentage points over the Congress, as the chart below shows. In the 2012 Gujarat elections, the BJP’s lead fell below 10% for the first time since 1995 but even then, the BJP won handsomely, largely because of its impressive performance in urban constituencies. In the 2012 Gujarat elections, the median victory margin of the BJP in seats it won was twice that of the Congress in seats the Congress won.

Source: Mint December 05, 2017 02:26 UTC